John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 6:12 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has successfully made 53.1% of his field goals while at home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.
John Collins has averaged 29.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 28th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.4).
While playing on the road, the Warriors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

John Collins has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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