John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has made 5.2 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 78th percentile among all players in the league.
John Collins has played 31.0 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
The Hornets have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

John Collins has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. JT Thor is a hard one for shots from downtown; when squaring off against fellow starting PFs this year, they have successfully made just 24.6% of their treys (3rd percentile).
John Collins will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases player production across the board.

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