John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has made 7.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's converted over the course of the season.
John Collins has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
John Collins has played 30.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 78th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year while playing away from home in terms of field goals.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.

Favors Under

John Collins has successfully made 14.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 11th percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup against the Kings is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing squads have compiled the 5th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (48.7%).
As a team, the Atlanta Hawks have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: 5th-worst in the league this year, drawing just 22.1 foul shot attempts per game.
The matchup vs. the Kings is a hard one for attempts from downtown; opposing starting PFs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.3).
The matchup vs. the Kings is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.1 free throws per game since the start of last season (10th-least in the NBA).

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