John Collins Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Made 3 Point Shots

Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 10:27 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has been on the court for 29.3 minutes per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (4.6).
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
The Utah Jazz have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
John Collins will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

John Collins has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
In terms of 3-point shots, the Utah Jazz's feeble 35.1% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 10th-fewest in the league since the start of last season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).