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John Collins

John Collins Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/15/2023

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

John Collins Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+162/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -194 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -210.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has sunk 2.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.

John Collins has tallied 29.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 77th percentile.

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 20 games (5.3).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (95th percentile).

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Hawks.

The Celtics have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

John Collins will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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