John Collins Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2023

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-190/+155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +160 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has tallied 30.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 81st percentile.
This matchup is a strong one for 3-pointers; opposing teams have shot for the highest three rate in the league this year (34.0%).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

John Collins has made 25.6% of his three-point shots this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
John Collins has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (98th percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from downtown.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games (3.3).
The Pelicans have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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