John Collins Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 15, 2023 1:36 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-227/+172).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -222 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -227.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has tallied 29.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 77th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

John Collins has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (95th percentile).
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Hawks.
The Celtics have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
John Collins will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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