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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/3/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has averaged 33.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Spurs have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the 76ers.

The Spurs have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joel Embiid has tallied a lowly 8.2 defensive rebounds per game this season, significantly less than his 9.4 defensive rebounds per game last season.

Joel Embiid has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (97th percentile).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the league this year.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Joel Embiid will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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