Joel Embiid Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2026

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Joel Embiid

NBA · Player Props

Joel Embiid

C-F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 5, 2026

Updated Jan 6, 2026 4:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-104/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Joel Embiid has registered 28.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's registered over the course of the season.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of 3-point attempts, the 10th-least aggressive team in the NBA playing at home this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the 76ers.
The 76ers will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Nuggets).

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