Joel Embiid Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2025

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Joel Embiid

NBA · Player Props

Joel Embiid

C-F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 22, 2025

Updated Feb 23, 2025 3:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Joel Embiid has tallied 19.9 points per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard.
The clash with Nic Claxton ranks in the 97th percentile with rival starting Cs draining an enormous 41.4% of their shots from downtown this year.
As a team, the 76ers have been very successful at getting to the charity stripe: 9th-best in the league this year with 22.8 free throw attempts per game.
Joel Embiid will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to increase player production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Joel Embiid comes in at the 25th percentile for three-point efficiency playing at home with a subpar 27.1% rate this year.
The most sluggish pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Nets).
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
In comparison to last season's 11.7 mark, Joel Embiid's number of free throw attempts has been reduced this season to 9.1 free throw attempts per game.

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