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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 2/20/2025

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has scored 20.7 points per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.

Joel Embiid has successfully made 45.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 8.6% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.

In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the 76ers's exceptional 22.9 foul shot attempts per game ranks 9th-best in the NBA this year.

Joel Embiid will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Kristaps Porzingis is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Porzingis is away from his home court and defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a lowly 15.0% of their attempts from downtown (7th percentile).

The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the 76ers.

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Philadelphia 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last year's 11.7 mark, Joel Embiid's number of foul shots has diminished this year to 9.1 foul shots per game.

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