Joel Embiid Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2025

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Joel Embiid

NBA · Player Props

Joel Embiid

C-F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 11, 2025

Updated Feb 12, 2025 3:23 AM UTC

Analysis

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 10.6 rate, Joel Embiid's missed field goals have fallen this season to 9.3 per game.
Joel Embiid has sunk 48.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 10.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
The clash with Jonathan Mogbo ranks in just the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs averaging an enormous 16.3 points per game this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers will likely get a boost in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Raptors).
As it relates to getting to the free-throw line, the 76ers's stellar 22.9 free throw attempts per game rates 8th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

The 76ers have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA playing at home this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Joel Embiid has attempted a measly 8.8 free throws per game this season, significantly lower than his 11.7 mark last season.

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