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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 2/9/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-141/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -141.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has attempted 19.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Joel Embiid has successfully made 61.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 21.2% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year while playing away from home.

Joel Embiid has tallied 29.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 77th percentile.

The Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the 76ers.

When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Philadelphia 76ers's superb 23.6 foul shot attempts per game while on the road settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The number of shots from the field against Brook Lopez has been remarkably low (10.3 per game) when at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (4th percentile).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the 76ers rank 1stworst in in the NBA on the road with only 8.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

In comparison to last season's 11.7 rate, Joel Embiid's number of foul shots has regressed this season to 8.7 foul shots per game.

The matchup against Brook Lopez is a hard one for drawing fouls; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game (3rd percentile).

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