Joel Embiid Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2025

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Joel Embiid

NBA · Player Props

Joel Embiid

C-F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers · Feb 7, 2025

Updated Feb 8, 2025 4:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Joel Embiid has notched 30.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's notched over the course of the year.
Joel Embiid has converted 61.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 21.2% more than he's made from three overall this season when playing on the road.
Joel Embiid has been on the court for 29.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 77th percentile.
The matchup against Jalen Duren is a good one for three-pointers; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have tallied a monstrous 1.2 3-point shots per game (100th percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Pistons).

Favors Under

The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year has been the 76ers.
The 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last year's 11.7 mark, Joel Embiid's number of foul shot attempts has dropped this year to 8.6 foul shot attempts per game.
Joel Embiid will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player production across the board.

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