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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2025

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has averaged 30.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

Joel Embiid has made 61.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 22.3% more than he's converted in all games this season.

In regard to shots from downtown, the 76ers's terrific 39.7% rate of drained threes settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games.

The number of points tallied against Daniel Gafford has been quite high (16.2 per game) when he is on the visiting team and defending fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

The 76ers are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league at home this year.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the 76ers rank 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Joel Embiid has attempted a mere 8.6 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 11.7 mark last season.

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