Joel Embiid Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2025

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Joel Embiid

NBA · Player Props

Joel Embiid

C-F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 2, 2025

Updated Jan 3, 2025 3:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Joel Embiid has averaged 32.4 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
In terms of drawing fouls, the 76ers's terrific 24.8 foul shot attempts per game comes in as the 3rd-best in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Trayce Jackson-Davis has been quite low (1.0 per game) when on his home court and facing opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from facing the 8th-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the 76ers grade out 2ndworst in in the league without the home court advantage with just 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Joel Embiid has made a mere 7.5 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 10.3 rate last season.

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