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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2024

Utah Jazz vs Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has sunk 41.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 10.1% more than he's converted from three overall this season.

Out of all players in the league, Joel Embiid slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 27.9 minutes per game this year.

The number of points tallied against Walker Kessler has been quite high (20.1 per game) when he is on his home court and squaring off against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The Jazz have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the 76ers.

As a team, the Philadelphia 76ers have been terrific at getting to the free-throw line while playing on the road: 6th-best in the NBA this year, averaging 23.8 foul shots per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joel Embiid has successfully made a lowly 40.4% of his shots from the field this year, a sizeable decrease from his 51.1 rate last year.

Joel Embiid has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (84th percentile).

The most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.

The 76ers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Walker Kessler is a hard one for drawing fouls; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.1 free throws per game (7th percentile).

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