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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 4/17/2024

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 19.8 rate, Joel Embiid's shots from the field have increased this season to 21.8 per game.

Joel Embiid has sunk 49.7% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 11.6% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.

Among all players in the NBA, Joel Embiid lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.9 minutes per game playing at home this year.

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a favorable one for field goals; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a monstrous 61.0% of their shots from the field (100th percentile).

The 9th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to 3-point shots, the 76ers's unimpressive 12.1 sunk threes per game places 9th-weakest in the league this year.

The 76ers are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).

The faceoff with Bam Adebayo in terms of getting to the foul line places in the 25th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a mere 2.7 foul shots per game this year.

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