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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has totaled an impressive 36.0 points per game this season, a big improvement over his 32.0 points per game last season.

Joel Embiid has averaged 34.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The number of shot attempts from the field against Nikola Jokic has been quite high (11.4 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (87th percentile).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 10thbest in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Joel Embiid has successfully made a terrific 10.7 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 9.8 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Joel Embiid comes in at the 77th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.3 fouls per game while on the road this year.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when it comes to three-point attempts.

The 10th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).

While playing at home, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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