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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 32.0 rate, Joel Embiid's points per game have spiked this season to 36.1.

Joel Embiid has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.

This year, their opposition has totaled 28.2 three attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, identifying this as a hard matchup.

The Philadelphia 76ers will likely see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Pacers).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 9thbest in in the league away from home with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Joel Embiid registers in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.5 fouls per game on the road this year.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as it relates to shot attempts from downtown.

The number of shot attempts from the field against Myles Turner has been very low (8.8 per game) when playing at home and matched up against other starting Cs this year (14th percentile).

The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers (retaining possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).

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