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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 12/22/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has attempted 21.8 shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 19.8 rate last season.

Joel Embiid has been on the court for 33.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

This matchup is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing squads have totaled the 7th-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games when the Raptors are on the road (32.4).

The clash with Jakob Poeltl registers in just the 82nd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs nailing a massive 6.0 field goals per game this year.

The 76ers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games while at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to three-point attempts.

The 76ers will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Raptors).

The Toronto Raptors have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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