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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 11/21/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers

 
 
 
Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Joel Embiid has compiled 31.9 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.
  • Out of all players in the league, Joel Embiid measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 32.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
  • This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting Cs have averaged 58.3% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, resulting in a good matchup.
  • The 4th-most up-tempo tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
  • The Cavaliers have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the 76ers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Compared to last season's 22.7% rate, Joel Embiid's 3-point efficiency has fallen this season to 25.0%.
  • With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league as the road team this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
  • While on the road, the Cavaliers have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted a colossal 25.4 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the NBA).

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