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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 11/19/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has averaged 30.8 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile.

Joel Embiid has converted a whopping 1.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.1 rate last season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Joel Embiid slots into the 87th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 33.7 minutes per game this year.

The 76ers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Brooklyn is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Nets are away from home, opposing starting Cs have tallied the 15th-least three-pointers per game in the league this year (0.2).

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Joel Embiid will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance across the board.

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