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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 5/14/2023

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has posted 32.2 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.

Joel Embiid has attempted 4.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Joel Embiid has played 33.1 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for threes; the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 27th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (0.6).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

While on their home court, the Celtics have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Joel Embiid will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers player production across the board.

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