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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 5/3/2023

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has played 33.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 27th-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (0.6).

While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Joel Embiid has converted 91.4% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 8.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this year on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joel Embiid has sunk 16.8% of his treys over the last 10 games, -11.6% lower than he's converted from three overall this year.

Joel Embiid has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (96th percentile).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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