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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 4/6/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has averaged a whopping 33.3 points per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 29.7 points per game last year.

Joel Embiid has tallied 34.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Joel Embiid has sunk a terrific 10.1 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 9.3 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joel Embiid has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (96th percentile).

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting Cs this year (12.0).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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