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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has posted a terrific 33.2 points per game this season, significantly more than his 29.7 points per game last season.

Joel Embiid has tallied 34.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 93rd percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. Toronto is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Raptors are on the road, opposing starting Cs have put up the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (45.1%).

The Raptors have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joel Embiid has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.

The Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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