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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 3/20/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has averaged 28.1 points per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.

Joel Embiid has played 33.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.

The Bulls have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the 76ers.

The Bulls have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Chicago is a hard one; when the Bulls are the visiting squad, they have given up the 8th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs over the last 15 games (12.5).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Bulls may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a mere 2.8 free throws per game over the last 15 games (8th-least in the NBA).

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