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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2023

Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has scored 29.7 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.

Joel Embiid has sunk 49.3% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Joel Embiid has averaged 34.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Hornets is a favorable one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs since the start of last season (18.8).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Hornets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

When playing at home, the Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Joel Embiid will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production for all stats.

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