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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 3/6/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has posted 29.7 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.

Joel Embiid has sunk 49.3% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Joel Embiid has tallied 34.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the 76ers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Pacers is a tough one for attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 13th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (1.2).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Pacers have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Joel Embiid will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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