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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has averaged 28.1 points per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.

Joel Embiid has been on the court for 33.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.

When playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Joel Embiid has attempted 11.4 free throws per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs this year (10.0).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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