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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has scored 28.1 points per game at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.

Joel Embiid has tallied 33.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home.

Joel Embiid has attempted 11.4 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Joel Embiid will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Boston is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Celtics are the visiting team, the other team's starting Cs have averaged the 14th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (0.2).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease plays for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Celtics have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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