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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has posted an impressive 33.3 points per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 29.7 points per game last year.

Joel Embiid has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 93rd percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games at home.

This matchup is a strong one for field goals; when the Knicks are on the road, their opposition have put up the highest FG% in the NBA against them this year (45.4%).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joel Embiid has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The matchup against Jericho Sims is a challenging one for three-pointers; when Sims is on the visiting team and facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk just 23.2% of their three-pointers (3rd percentile).

The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing on the road, the Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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