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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 2/8/2023

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has scored a terrific 33.4 points per game this year, a big improvement over his 29.7 points per game last year.

Joel Embiid has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The matchup vs. Robert Williams III is a strong one for attempts from beyond the arc; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 1.4 treys per game (-357 percentile).

Playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joel Embiid has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (96th percentile).

The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (11.9).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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