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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 1/28/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has scored an impressive 33.4 points per game this year, a big improvement over his 29.7 points per game last year.

Joel Embiid has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 9.6% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season on his home court.

Joel Embiid has averaged 34.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 93rd percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.

While playing away from home, the Nuggets have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (which also provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joel Embiid has committed 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.2 higher than he's committed overall this year at home.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 25.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-least in the league).

The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for scoring; when playing away from home, opposing squads have totaled the 8th-least shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (43.1).

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA this year.

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