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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has scored a terrific 33.5 points per game this year, significantly more than his 29.7 points per game last year.

Joel Embiid has attempted 21.1 shots per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.

Joel Embiid has been on the court for 35.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The 76ers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joel Embiid has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season.

While playing on the road, the Pacers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Pacers is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted just 26.0 foul shots per game while on the road this year (6th-least in the league).

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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