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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Assists
Player Prop - 1/16/2024

Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets

Joel Embiid Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has averaged a whopping 5.9 assists per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 4.0 assists per game last season.

Joel Embiid has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The 7th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Joel Embiid comes in at the 94th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Philadelphia 76ers.

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