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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Assists
Player Prop - 10/26/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has averaged 3.9 assists per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.

In contrast to his full-season rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) minutes per [AWAY_ROAD] game, Joel Embiid's rate of playing time has surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) minutes over the last 5 games [AS_A_VISITING_PLAYER].

The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo road team in the league over the last 25 games (the Bucks).

The Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joel Embiid has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the 76ers grade out 4thworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 8.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Joel Embiid will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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