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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Assists
Player Prop - 5/11/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics

Joel Embiid Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has posted 4.1 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 85th percentile.

Joel Embiid has tallied 34.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 93rd percentile.

Joel Embiid will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joel Embiid has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (95th percentile).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Celtics have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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