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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Assists
Player Prop - 5/9/2023

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+126/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has tallied 4.0 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this metric in recent games: 86th percentile.

Joel Embiid has played 33.0 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

While at home, the Celtics have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joel Embiid has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (95th percentile).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Joel Embiid will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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