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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Assists
Player Prop - 5/3/2023

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has totaled 5.2 assists per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.1 more than he's totaled in all games this year on the road.

Joel Embiid has played 33.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joel Embiid has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (96th percentile).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Joel Embiid will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production across the board.

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