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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Assists
Player Prop - 2/3/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Philadelphia 76ers

 
 
 
Joel Embiid Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Joel Embiid has posted 4.2 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 87th percentile.
  • Joel Embiid has averaged 33.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
  • The Spurs have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the 76ers.
  • The Spurs have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Joel Embiid has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (97th percentile).
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the league this year.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • Joel Embiid will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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