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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/21/2024

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has put up 5.0 rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 81st percentile.

Jimmy Butler has played 32.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jimmy Butler has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Orlando Magic).

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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