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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Rebounds
Player Prop - 6/9/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Jimmy Butler Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has tallied 2.5 offensive rebounds per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.

Jimmy Butler has averaged 39.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Miami Heat have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 7 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to raises stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

On the road, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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