Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 31, 2025

Updated Dec 31, 2025 6:05 PM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-124/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Charlotte is a strong one; when the Charlotte Hornets are playing at home, they have given up the 6th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 24 games (16.4).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 7th-best in in the league with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 4.5 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 115.1 points per game comes in as the 9th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Charlotte Hornets).

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