Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 28, 2025

Updated Dec 29, 2025 4:20 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 4.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 111.5 points per game when playing on the road ranks 8th-worst in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Toronto is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Raptors are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.1).
The 10th-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors will likely see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).

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