Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 25, 2025

Updated Dec 25, 2025 9:34 PM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Mavericks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Warriors have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a challenging one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).
This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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