Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Orlando Magic · Dec 22, 2025

Updated Dec 23, 2025 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Orlando is a favorable one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting team, they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (18.9).
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Magic).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 8th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Magic, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

The Warriors have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The 7th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Warriors.

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