Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 20, 2025

Updated Dec 21, 2025 1:33 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-119/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -101 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have averaged 41.1% on threes (8th-highest in the league) against the Suns, making this a good matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 112.4 points per game settles in as the 7th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league playing at home this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Golden State Warriors.
The matchup against the Suns may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the NBA).

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