Jimmy Butler Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2025

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Jimmy Butler

NBA · Player Props

Jimmy Butler

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 29, 2025

Updated Nov 30, 2025 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Warriors have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Warriors will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. New Orleans may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.3 free throws per game over the last 19 games when the Pelicans are the visiting squad (8th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Warriors's subpar 113.1 points per game measures as the 9th-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 9.1 field goal attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, marking this as a tough matchup.

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